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Global Panic Builds as Forex Shifts into Risk-Off Mode
Abstract：Global markets plunged into a broad sell-off today, with U.S. equities, crypto assets, and various indexes all sharply lower as risk-off sentiment intensified. The forex market followed suit, shifting into “safe-haven mode” — the Japanese yen and Swiss franc surged, while risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar, and Canadian dollar came under heavy pressure. Tariff concerns acted as the trigger, prompting capital rotation and a clear shift in market structure.
Today, market sentiment collapsed across the board. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all saw heavy losses, with the Nasdaq and S&P falling more than 6% at one point. Bitcoin dipped below $780,000 during intraday trading, and Ethereum — along with most other major crypto assets — followed suit. Meanwhile, global forex markets quickly echoed the shift, with safe-haven demand rising sharply amid intensifying trade concerns.
JPY and CHF Rally: Classic Risk-Off in Play
The forex performance chart below paints a very clear picture of todays rotation. The Japanese yen (JPY) and Swiss franc (CHF) surged across the board, gaining 0.7% to 0.9% against most major currencies. This kind of broad-based strength typically only occurs in classic “risk-off” episodes, where investors flee volatility and move to traditionally safer assets.
Todays Forex Snapshot:
This movement reflects strong capital flows away from higher-risk regions and into havens, driven by fears that rising tariffs could further strain global supply chains and growth expectations.
Commodity Currencies Under Pressure
On the other side of the chart, commodity-linked currencies like the Australian dollar (AUD), New Zealand dollar (NZD), and Canadian dollar (CAD) fell sharply — particularly against JPY and CHF. AUD and NZD dropped more than 0.7% against the yen, signaling strong outflows from risk-sensitive regions. These currencies are typically the first to be sold off when global growth fears or trade tensions resurface.
USD Holds Firm, CNY Mixed
The U.S. dollar (USD) held up relatively well in todays environment, gaining modestly against AUD, NZD, and CAD, but showing limited movement elsewhere. The Chinese yuan (CNY), meanwhile, showed some strength against commodity and European currencies but remained under pressure against the yen and franc. This mixed performance suggests policy-supported stability rather than broad-based demand for CNY.
Conclusion
Todays action makes it clear that global markets are entering a new phase of uncertainty. The surge in traditional safe havens and steep declines in risk currencies reflect not just a technical correction, but a broader repricing of geopolitical and trade-related risks. Unless we see quick resolution or policy clarity, this “risk-off” mood could persist — and deepen.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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